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Predicting financial distress: Applicability of O-score and logit model for Pakistani firms


Waqas, Hamid and Md Rus, Rohani (2018) Predicting financial distress: Applicability of O-score and logit model for Pakistani firms. Business and Economic Horizons, 14 (2). pp. 389-401. ISSN 18045006

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Abstract

Predicting financial distress have significant importance in corporate finance as it serves as an effective early warning system for the related stakeholders.The study applies the most admired financial distress prediction O-score model and compares its predictive accuracy with estimated logit model. The study estimates logit model by including the profitability ratios, liquidity ratios, leverage ratios, and cash flow ratios. This study filled the gap by using the cash flow ratios to predict financial distress for Pakistani listed firms. The sample for the estimation model consists of 290 firms with 45 distressed and 245 healthy firms for the period 2006-2016 and covers all sectors of Pakistan Stock Exchange. The study provides important insights on the role of different financial ratio in predicting financial distress and shows that estimated logit model produces higher accuracy rate in predicting financial distress.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: Financial distress, bankruptcy, logit regression, O-score model, financial distress, emerging market, Pakistan
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HG Finance
Divisions: School of Economics, Finance & Banking
Depositing User: Mrs. Norazmilah Yaakub
Date Deposited: 01 Jul 2018 02:15
Last Modified: 01 Jul 2018 02:15
URI: http://repo.uum.edu.my/id/eprint/24348

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