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Neural network application in reservoir water level forecasting and release decision


Wan Ishak, Wan Hussain and Ku-Mahamud, Ku Ruhana and Md. Norwawi, Norita (2011) Neural network application in reservoir water level forecasting and release decision. International Journal of New Computer Architectures and their Applications (IJNCAA), 1 (2). pp. 54-63. ISSN 2220-9085 (Unpublished)

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Abstract

Reservoir dam is one of the defense mechanism for both flood and drought disasters.During flood, the opening of the dam's spillway gate must be adequate to ensure that the reservoir capacity will not over its limits and the discharges will not cause overflow downstream. While, during drought the reservoir needs to impound water and release adequately to fulfil its purposes.Modelling of the reservoir water release is vital to support the reservoir operator to make fast and accurate decision when dealing with both disasters.In this paper, intelligent decision support niodel based on neural network (NN) is proposed. The proposed model consists of situation assessment, forecasting and decision models.Situation assessment utilized temporal data mining technique to extract relevant data and attribute froni the reservoir operation record.The forecasting model utilize NN to perform forecasting of the reservoir water level, while in the decision model, NN is applied to perform classification of the current and changes of reservoir water level. The simulations have shown that the performances of NN for both forecasting and decision models are acceptably good.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: Emergency Management, Intelligent Decision Support System, Neural Network, Forecasting
Subjects: T Technology > TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
Divisions: College of Arts and Sciences
Depositing User: Mrs. Norazmilah Yaakub
Date Deposited: 27 Sep 2011 07:47
Last Modified: 27 Oct 2013 01:31
URI: http://repo.uum.edu.my/id/eprint/3990

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