Rationality of insurance firms' forecasts: Results of unbiasedness and efficiency tests

Habibullah, Muzafar Shah Rationality of insurance firms' forecasts: Results of unbiasedness and efficiency tests. Malaysian Management Journal, 5 (1&2). pp. 107-117. ISSN 0128-6226

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Official URL: http://mmj.uum.edu.my

Abstract

Many applied studies have tried to test the implications of rational expectations hypothesis on survey data. This study provides evidence on the rationality of economic forecasts made by insurance firms in a developing economy-Malaysia. Our unbiasedness test results suggest than anticipated gross revenue and employment are unbiased predictors of actual gross revenue and employment respectively. Furthermore, our efficiency tests results indicate that insurance firms utilized relevent information efficiently at the time the forecasts were made.

Item Type:	Article
Uncontrolled Keywords:	economic forecasting, gross revenue, employment, insurance firms
Subjects:	H Social Sciences > HC Economic History and Conditions
Divisions:	UNSPECIFIED
Depositing User:	Mrs. Norazmilah Yaakub
Date Deposited:	10 Aug 2010 01:30
Last Modified:	28 Jun 2015 02:50
URI:	https://repo.uum.edu.my/id/eprint/493

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