Alwi, Azatuliffah and Zainal Abidin, Norhaslinda (2021) Developing A Dynamic Model of Controlling Dengue Transmission in Malaysia. Technical Report. UUM. (Submitted)

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Abstract

Dengue virus had become the dominant mosquito-borne disease that has rapidly spread in the world including Malaysia. Thus, controlling Aedes mosquito through effective dengue control strategy had become the focus of government in controlling the spread of dengue virus. However, the current practice of passive dengue control strategy in Malaysia that are associated with the use of single strategy and the absent of climate driven. Failure to consider the climate element in the dengue control strategy contributes to the high cost and ineffective control solutions. The main objective of this research is to develop a dynamic model of controlling dengue epidemic in Malaysia. Four main components of dengue transmission model namely human population, mosquito population, dengue control activities and climate were model using SD method. Meanwhile, FTOPSIS of dengue model was developed to prioritize the dengue control activities based on the sustain management (SM) strategy. The integration between SD and FTOPSIS methods forms a new integrated model known as FTOPSIS-SD. Three FTOPSIS-SD models known as during Northeast Monsoon model, Southwest Monsoon model and Inter Monsoon model developed to determined what are the best control strategies between passive and SM should be practiced to reduce dengue. It is found that public education and vector surveillance were the best control strategies for SM. Furthermore, the run of FTOPSIS-SD models recommended that passive strategy is best to be applied during Northeast Monsoon, Southwest Monsoon and Inter Monsoon seasons. As a conclusion, the proposed of integrated FTOPSIS-SD model provide a beneficial guidance to the health authorities in Malaysia on the suitable dengue control strategy with the lowest cost that should be applied for different climate variations seasons.

Item Type:	Monograph (Technical Report)
Additional Information:	S/O 13874
Uncontrolled Keywords:	System dynamics, FTOPSIS, Integrated FTOPSIS-SD model, Dengue control strategy, Dengue control activity, Climate change
Subjects:	Q Science > QA Mathematics
Divisions:	Research and Innovation Management Centre (RIMC)
Depositing User:	Mrs Nurin Jazlina Hamid
Date Deposited:	06 Dec 2023 09:24
Last Modified:	06 Dec 2023 09:24
URI:	https://repo.uum.edu.my/id/eprint/30116

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