mailto:uumlib@uum.edu.my 24x7 Service; AnyTime; AnyWhere

Enhanced ABC-LSSVM For Energy Fuel Price Prediction

Mustaffa, Zuriani and Yusof, Yuhanis and Kamaruddin, Siti Sakira (2014) Enhanced ABC-LSSVM For Energy Fuel Price Prediction. Journal of Information and Communication Technology, 12. pp. 73-101. ISSN 2180-3862

[thumbnail of JICT 12 00 2013 73-101.pdf]
Preview
PDF - Published Version
Available under License Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0).

Download (992kB) | Preview

Abstract

This paper presents an enhanced Artifi cial Bee Colony (eABC) based on Lévy Probability Distribution (LPD) and conventional mutation. The purposes of enhancement are to enrich the searching behavior of the bees in the search space and prevent premature convergence. Such an approach is used to improve the performance of the original ABC in optimizing the embedded hyper-parameters of Least Squares Support Vector Machines (LSSVM). Later on, a procedure is put forward to serve as a prediction tool to solve prediction task. To evaluate the effi ciency of the proposed model, crude oil prices data was employed as empirical data and a comparison against four approaches were conducted, which include standard ABC-LSSVM, Genetic Algorithm-LSSVM (GA-LSSVM), Cross Validation-LSSVM (CV-LSSVM), and conventional Back Propagation Neural Network (BPNN). From the experiment that was conducted, the proposed eABC-LSSVM shows encouraging results in optimizing parameters of interest by producing higher prediction accuracy for employed time series data.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: Artificial bee colony, least squares support vector machines, levy probability distribution, prediction
Subjects: Q Science > QA Mathematics > QA75 Electronic computers. Computer science
Divisions: School of Computing
Depositing User: Mrs Nurin Jazlina Hamid
Date Deposited: 14 Feb 2024 14:58
Last Modified: 14 Feb 2024 14:58
URI: https://repo.uum.edu.my/id/eprint/30415

Actions (login required)

View Item View Item